Musings

John Gesek John Gesek

Life Insurance: A Primer

When most people think about life insurance, they think about one thing: money for their family when they pass away. And yes, that’s important. But life insurance—certain types of it—can actually do a lot more while you're still alive.

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John Gesek John Gesek

AI Gone Awry

The predictions about the future of artificial intelligence include two extreme views. One posits that AI will become a powerful, but tame servant of humanity, able to comb through the sum total of human knowledge to usher in a period of truth and prosperity. The other suggests that AI has the potential to become sentient, uncooperative, rogue and dangerous.

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John Gesek John Gesek

Dollar Doldrums

This past January 13, a week before the Presidential inauguration, the U.S. dollar was riding high. How high? Measured against a basket of other currencies, including the euro and the yen, it stood at 109.96—meaning, among other things that a dollar would buy more than a euro on the world markets—and imported goods and services were proportionately cheaper for U.S. buyers.

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John Gesek John Gesek

Staying Safe Against Remote Access Tools (RATs)

Schwab has identified a recent trend where fraudsters have been using Remote Access Tools (RATs) in combination with phishing attacks to compromise digital devices like mobile phones, tablets, laptops and desktops. These RATs are tools that are used for legitimate purposes—IT support for example. However, bad actors can abuse them to steal assets and data.

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John Gesek John Gesek

The Stagflation Monster

If you were a particularly nervous child, you might have been frightened by the idea that monsters could be hiding under your bed while you slept at night. Today, economists have a similar fear, but this one has a name. It’s called ‘stagflation.’

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John Gesek John Gesek

What To Know About The New Tax Law

The so-called ‘big, beautiful bill’ finally squeaked through the Congressional legislative process, sending it to the President’s desk over the holiday weekend. He signed it in a triumphant Fourth of July ceremony, making the various complex provisions the tax law of the land.

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John Gesek John Gesek

2025 Second Quarter Investment Report

Following an awful first quarter that saw negative returns across the board, the U.S. investment markets staged a remarkable comeback, banishing (for the moment) worries about the risk of a recession, a slowdown in consumer spending and the uncertainty over trade wars and tariffs.

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John Gesek John Gesek

Alarm at the Fed

If you have trouble getting to sleep at night, one of the surest cures is to read the minutes of the Federal Reserve Board’s Open Market Committee—the summary of a group conversation among the economists who set policy every quarter, mostly to decide if fed funds rates should be raised or lowered. The prose is generally bland and somewhat technical, and rarely offers a lot of insights that most of us wouldn’t know already.

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John Gesek John Gesek

The Ups and Downs That Have No Meaning

We’ve now experienced four months of a very bumpy ride in market returns. In February, the S&P 500 fell 1.4% and the Nasdaq Composite declined 3.9%. March: down 5.6% and 7.6%, respectively. April: down 0.8% for the S&P 500 but a small (0.88%) gain for Nasdaq. May: the S&P 500 jumped up 6.29% while the Nasdaq Composite surged 9.6%.

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John Gesek John Gesek

Calm Before The Storm?

Investors appeared to be encouraged by an inflation report which showed an increase in core inflation of just 2.3% in March, down from February’s reading of 2.7%. Maybe the massive new tariff regime won’t raises prices after all.

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John Gesek John Gesek

The Next Tax Bill is Coming

The tax code we have lived under for the past decade was written as the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, which created the existing tax brackets, expanded the standard deduction, provided exemptions to the Alternative Minimum Tax and generous gift and estate tax exemption amounts, a $10,000 limit on state and local tax itemized deductions and created the Section 199A deduction for up to 20% of qualified business income for pass-through business owners.

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John Gesek John Gesek

The Markets’ Message

Long-term market watchers no doubt find it fascinating how the investment markets are engaging in a surprisingly frank dialogue with the White House over the tariffs. Whenever the news involves a hardening stance on tariffs, the markets drop. Whenever there is a pullback or pause, the markets rally.

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John Gesek John Gesek

“No Such Thing as Free Trade”

For as long as trade has existed, there have been duties, fees, levies, tariffs, or taxes that have been applied in all shapes and sizes on goods entering a country. Some folks continue to promote the idea that free trade exists, but it has never truly existed.

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John Gesek John Gesek

2025 First Quarter Investment Report

After two years of stellar returns, the U.S. investment markets have decided to give back some of their recent gains. We are not in bear market territory quite yet, but the risk of a recession, a slowdown in consumer spending and the uncertainty over trade wars and tariffs, has created some market jitters that are raining on the bull market parade.

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John Gesek John Gesek

IPO Investing - A Word of Caution

The most eye-catching news making the rounds currently is the initial public offering of the Newsmax channel, which took place when the bell rang on Monday. The stock rose an astonishing 735% on the first day of public trading, and then rose another 60% on the second day. The investment bankers were asking for $14 a share in the initial offering, but by the end of the second day, some investors were paying more than $200.

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John Gesek John Gesek

The Markets Go On Sale

It’s fair to say that the Trump Administration’s tariff announcements have not had the desired effect — at least, not immediately. The S&P 500 fell 2.7% on Monday after dropping more than 5% the previous week. Investors are clearly rattled about the uncertainty of waging escalating trade wars on America’s biggest trading partners, and there are additional concerns that the trade barriers being erected in retaliation could lead to a recession.

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John Gesek John Gesek

Student Loan Chaos

You can forgive people with student loan debt from feeling confused and somewhat frustrated. The Department of Education has shut down a key portal, without explanation, that defines the repayment amounts for millions of college-related loans.

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John Gesek John Gesek

Why Are Eggs So Expensive?

The price of eggs is in the news today—and no wonder. A dozen white Grade A chicken eggs—not the more expensive kind laid by free-range-chickens—reached a shell-shocking price of just under $5.00.

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John Gesek John Gesek

It Is Never Time to Panic

With the unprecedented restructuring wave going on across the federal government, unorthodox (to put it mildly) personnel management, appointment of candidates with little or no background in the departments they’re running and a wave of tariffs the like of which the world hasn’t seen since the 1930s, it’s easy to imagine that something might go wrong with the U.S. economy in the fairly near future.

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